This Weekly Credit Brief was published 39 days ago. The information within it may have since developed or changed.
AS – Term Structure
Recovery Rate:
PD – Historical Time Series
Forecast Horizon:
AS – Historical Time Series
Contract Term: Recovery Rate:
Historical default-number distributions with
default correlations (DC) will be back-filled gradually. Currently, default-number distributions with DC are available for: 2008-06-30 - 2023-09-15 while the rest are computed under the assumption of zero default correlations. Default-number distributions are at month-ends whereas the current ones are for the latest Friday.
The probability that exactly N companies from the selected group will default for the selected date and forecast horizon out of:
| Number of defaults |
Probability |
Probabilities of Default for Different Prediction Horizons:
Data Table
| Time period |
Germany/Real Esta... (bps) |
| 1M |
|
| 3M |
|
| 6M |
|
| 1Y |
|
| 2Y |
|
| 3Y |
|
| 5Y |
|
Actuarial Spreads for Different Tenors:
The probability over time that the selected entity(s) will default within the
next:
Data notes
- The PDs and Actuarial Spreads of each company/economy are computed using model parameters that were
calibrated
- on 2023-09-11.
- using data that was available
on
2023-08-31.
- The aggregate PD and Actuarial Spread displayed are calculated using the simple median of
the individual measures in each group. The aggregate PD and Actuarial Spread using mean
values are accessible through the data download section.
-
The regions are regrouped on 2017-12-18 as: Asia Pacific (Developed), Asia Pacific (Emerging),
North America, Europe (including 2 subgroups: Eurozone and Non-Eurozone), Latin America & Caribbean
(including 2 subgroups: Latin America and Caribbean), Sub-Saharan Africa, and Middle East, North Africa
& Central Asia (including 3 subgroups: Middle East, North Africa and Central Asia).
-
The Financial Sectors in BICS2020 is devided into Banking, Financial Services and Insurers.